Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.087730 0.097599 0.107738 0.118905 0.130833 0.143168 0.156862
2025-01-19 0.070022 0.084632 0.100450 0.118729 0.139144 0.161130 0.186478
2025-01-26 0.062663 0.081173 0.102096 0.127194 0.156186 0.188342 0.226416
2025-02-02 0.053637 0.074310 0.098648 0.128861 0.164815 0.205719 0.255249
2025-02-09 0.047159 0.069474 0.096721 0.131565 0.174085 0.223479 0.284381
2025-02-16 0.040587 0.063631 0.092806 0.131201 0.179169 0.235976 0.307171
2025-02-23 0.038155 0.062806 0.094900 0.138048 0.192897 0.258758 0.342265
2025-03-02 0.035594 0.061455 0.096043 0.143495 0.204789 0.279328 0.374835
2025-03-09 0.030623 0.056159 0.091469 0.141114 0.206474 0.287146 0.391774
2025-03-16 0.025933 0.050731 0.086245 0.137443 0.206146 0.292194 0.405122
2025-03-23 0.024388 0.049897 0.087315 0.142166 0.216698 0.310934 0.435547
2025-03-30 0.022525 0.048354 0.087210 0.145163 0.224921 0.326734 0.462392
2025-04-06 0.020365 0.046246 0.086327 0.147283 0.232371 0.342135 0.489601
2025-04-13 0.018003 0.043553 0.084410 0.147865 0.237785 0.355067 0.513993
2025-04-20 0.018039 0.045079 0.089025 0.157993 0.256447 0.385550 0.561221
2025-04-27 0.016312 0.043204 0.088177 0.160045 0.263946 0.401436 0.589837
2025-05-04 0.014989 0.041915 0.088142 0.163225 0.272998 0.419426 0.621305
2025-05-11 0.013141 0.039350 0.085829 0.162821 0.276901 0.430521 0.643840
2025-05-18 0.012915 0.040048 0.088951 0.170748 0.292742 0.457769 0.687721
2025-05-25 0.012432 0.040138 0.091010 0.177039 0.306283 0.482010 0.727809
2025-06-01 0.010613 0.037071 0.087407 0.174293 0.306602 0.488186 0.743960
2025-06-08 0.008811 0.033710 0.083013 0.170053 0.304546 0.490976 0.755527
2025-06-15 0.008440 0.033701 0.084649 0.175507 0.316816 0.513559 0.793651